Develop low emissions growth scenarios

Stage 3

LEDS Home

Introduction to Framework Assess current country plans, policies, practices, and capacities Develop_BAU Stage 4: Prioritizing and Planning for Actions

Begin execution of implementation plans

• 1.0. Organizing the LEDS Process
• 1.1. Institutional Structure for LEDS
• 1.2. Workplan to Develop the LEDS
• 1.3. Roles and responsibilities to develop LEDS

• 2.1. Assess current country plans, policies, practices, and capacities
• 2.2. Compile lessons learned and good practices from ongoing and previous sustainable development efforts in the country
• 2.3. Assess public and private sector capacity to support initiatives
• 2.4. Assess and improve the national GHG inventory and other economic and resource data as needed for LEDS development
• Greenhouse Gas Inventory Development Toolkit

• 3a. Analytical Decision Making - Developing BAU Scenario
• 3b. Analytical Decision Making - Assessing Opportunities
• 3b.1. Assess technical potential for sector technologies
• Renewable Energy Technical Potential Toolkit
• Building Energy Assessment Toolkit
• Power System Screening and Design Toolkit
• Land Use Assessment Toolkit
• Bioenergy Assessment Toolkit
• Transportation Assessment Toolkit
• 3b.2. Assess economic and market potential of technologies and initiatives
• Clean Energy Market Analysis Toolkit
• 3b.3. Prioritize development options
• 3c. Analytical Decision Making - Developing and Assessing Low Emissions Development Scenarios
• 3c.1. Develop low emissions growth scenarios
• 3c.2. Assess institutional framework for LEDS
• Financing Initiatives Toolkit
• Policy and Program Design Toolkit
• 3c.3. Assess in-depth contributions of selected scenarios to goals across sectors
• Land-use Scenario Analysis Toolkit
• Energy System and Scenario Analysis Toolkit
• 3c.4. Perform multi-criteria impact analysis and assess stakeholder responses
• Clean Energy Impact Assessment Tool
• Sustainable Land-use Impact Assessment Toolkit

• 4.1. Preparations for Implementation
• 4.2. Prepare comprehensive implementation plan
• 4.3. Launch implementation

• 5.1. Begin execution and monitor progress of implementation plans

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3c.1 Developing low emissions growth scenarios

Figure 1 Source:Building Partnerships Delivering Innovation Informing Policy Creating Affordability. U.K Energy Technologies Institute LLP

 

Key Products

• Deployment scenarios for technologies and climate measures based on projected costs and benefits under a variety of market, economic, climate, and policy conditions, including variations on the country’s technical and regulatory capacity

The first step in identifying promising technologies and practices is to evaluate alternative projections for long-term economic, policy, market, climate and capacity conditions through adjusting assumptions, constraints and inputs to the projection model.

Using outputs from the previous resource and market assessments of various technologies and initiatives in stage 3b, scenarios can be created for each sector of the economy. Scenarios present alternative visions for accelerating use of low carbon technologies and practices to achieve the development and climate goals established in stage 3b.

• Technical teams and stakeholders can refer back to the reference scenario projections to identify alternative projections for long-term economic, policy, market, climate, capacity, and consumer acceptance conditions to inform development of scenarios.
• Technical teams and stakeholders can develop deployment scenarios for each sector based on benefits and costs of alternatives and realistic assessment of their market potential, including consumer acceptance and alignment with technical capacity identified in stage 3a.